China's five-year plan targets stable oil production, increased gas and stockpiling
China announced on Thursday that it would set a target for its annual oil production of 200 million metric tonnes (4 million barrels per day) as part of its next five-year plans. This is a goal?it had already exceeded last year. The country also promised to 'expand' the size of its strategic oil reserves, which are not publicly disclosed. This target is an extension of the 2022 goal by China's National Energy Administration to increase output to 200 millions tonnes by 2025.
India's Adani Total Gas raises prices, citing Middle East conflict
India's Adani Total Gas (ATGL), citing a lower Availability of Gas due to the Middle East conflict, has raised prices on industrial clients. Adani Group is a joint-venture with?French oil giant TotalEnergies SE. The?attacks against Iran and Tehran's response strikes have caused transit through the Strait of Hormuz, which transports around a fifth of global oil consumption as well?as huge quantities of liquefied gas, to come to a grinding halt.
Japan's Middle East Energy Dependency - and How it Mitigates Shocks
Around 95% of Japan's oil and 11% of its liquefied gas is imported from the Middle East. Around 70% and 6% of these imports come via the Strait of Hormuz which has been effectively closed by the Iran War. Here's a breakdown of Japan's energy dependence on the Middle East and how it can reduce its import risk. Around 95% of Japan's oil imports come from the Middle East. In January, Japan imported an average of 2.8 million barrels per day of crude oil…
Iran threatens to attack any vessel trying to cross the Strait of Hormuz
Iranian media reported that a senior Revolutionary Guards official told them on Monday, "the Strait of Hormuz was closed" and that Iran would fire at any ships trying to pass. This is Iran's?most explicit warning since it told ships on Saturday that?it would?close the export route. The move threatens to choke off a fifth global oil flow and send crude prices sharply up. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. The Revolutionary Guards will burn down any ships that try to pass.
State researcher: China's oil demand will plateau in 2030.
A research group affiliated with the state 'oil'major CNPC announced on Thursday that China's oil consumption will?plateau? between 2025 and 2030 as electric vehicles reduce the demand for gasoline and Diesel. Haibo Wang is the director of oil?market?research for CNPC Economics & Technology Research Institute. She said that most of China's additional demand for oil came from jet -fuel and petrochemicals.
TASS reports that Russia's top oil executive said Asian oil demand is still growing.
Alexander Dyukov of Russian oil giant Gazprom said that the demand for crude oil in Asia continues to increase, while China, among other countries, has been replenishing its crude stocks, according to TASS. OPEC+ agreed this month to increase oil production in October, as Saudi Arabia tries to regain its market share. However, the group will slow down the rate of increases compared to previous months because of an expected weakening in global demand.
Bangladesh increases its power purchase from India and reduces its fuel oil consumption as the demand for electricity rises
Industry officials and analysts report that Bangladesh is increasing power imports from India as well as the output of fuel oil-fired plants to try and meet its rising electricity demand. The country faces a shortage of gas and maintenance costs for coal power plants. Government data revealed that power imports from eastern India's Adani Power coal-fired plants rose by 70% during the seven-month period ending in July, and they helped to meet most of the growing demand.
USDA: Biofuel demand will absorb more than half the US soyoil crop in 2019.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture announced on Friday that U.S. biofuel producers will consume more than 50% of the soybean oil produced here in the United States by next year. A recent flurry of federal policies has transformed the industry, including increased blending mandates as well as curbs on imports of foreign biofuels and feedstocks. In its monthly report on supply and demand, the USDA has…
IEA: World oil demand will continue to grow this decade despite China's peak in 2027
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said that global oil demand will continue to grow until the end of the decade, despite a peak in China, the top importer, in 2027. This is because cheaper gasoline in the United States and a slower adoption rate for electric vehicles in this country support consumption. The IEA (which advises industrialised nations) did not alter its prediction that China's demand would peak earlier than 2029 due to the growth of electric vehicles.
Russell: What is not happening in Middle East crude oil supply is more important than what is.
In times of increased tensions in the Middle East, it's more important to focus on what isn't happening than to fixate on the dramatic headlines about tit-fortat air and rocket strikes between Israel and Iran. This means that from the perspective of the crude oil market, it's important to focus on the fact that not a single barrel of crude supply has been lost. It is also in the interest of all parties involved that this continues to be the case.
MPOC expects palm oil demand to increase in China and India as prices become more competitive.
The Malaysian Palm Oil Council said that demand for palm oil from major global buyers China, and India will increase because the vegetable oil has become more affordable compared to its competitors. The MPOC stated that palm oil was now "reasonably-priced" at 3,900 Ringgit ($889) for a metric ton. It added that the prices would likely remain at this level due to a rebound in soybean oil. In the last year…
US EIA warns that tariffs and trade uncertainties will lower oil demand
The U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA's) monthly short-term Energy Outlook report on Thursday said that recent developments in global trade policies are expected to reduce global oil and fuel consumption growth through 2026. As a result of the uncertainty created by a possible lower global growth rate and higher oil supplies, the U.S. Department of Energy’s statistical arm has cut its forecasts of U.S. oil demand and global oil consumption growth for this year and next. Since U.S.
Russell: OPEC and IEA are focused on China's oil demand but it is the crude imports that matter.
What is more important to the crude oil market? Which is more important: the growth forecasts by major agencies of Chinese oil demand or the actual weakness of imports? The International Energy Agency (IEA), as well as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, (OPEC), both talk about the demand for oil when they forecast the future of the oil industry in China, the largest crude importer of the world. It is a practice that has been around for a while and is not challenged by the market.
Russell: OPEC and IEA are focused on China's oil demand but it is the crude imports that matter.
What is more important to the crude oil market? Which is more important: the growth forecasts by major agencies of Chinese oil demand or the actual weakness of imports? The International Energy Agency (IEA), as well as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, (OPEC), both talk about the demand for oil when they forecast the future of the oil industry in China, the largest crude importer of the world. It is a practice that has been around for a while and is not challenged by the market.
The cold weather in the US boosts diesel prices, but masks economic challenges
Since the beginning of the year, the cold temperatures in the Northeast U.S. have led to an increase in demand for heating oil. This has helped to offset the slowdown in recent years due to reduced industrial activity. The Energy Information Administration (EIA), according to its data, reported that the U.S. inventory of distillate fuels - including diesel and heating oil - fell this month to its lowest seasonal level in 2014.
Palm oil is a weaker competitor than other oils
Malaysian palm oils futures ended lower on Thursday for the second consecutive session, due to weakness in vegetable oils. The benchmark contract for palm oil delivery in April on the Bursa Derivatives exchange lost 17 ringgit or 0.4% to 4,191 Ringgit ($943.49) per metric ton. Anilkumar bagani, head of commodity research at Mumbai-based Sunvin Group, said that "Bursa Malaysia derivatives crude palm oil Futures opened lower today"...
Mistry: Malaysian palm oil will trade at around 4,000 Ringgit/T by 2025
Analyst Dorab Mistry predicted that Malaysian palm oils will trade at around 4,000 Malaysian Ringgit per metric tonne in 2025. However, there was a short rise to 4,800 Ringgit in February due to stiff competition from soybean oil. By midday, the benchmark palm oil contract, FCPOc3, for April delivery, on Bursa Malaysia's Derivatives exchange had lost 64 ringgit or 1.52% to 4,144 Ringgit ($933.02), a metric tonne.
Palm oil declines due to weaker rival oils
The price of Malaysian palm oils futures fell for the second session in a row on Thursday. This was due to the weakness in vegetable oils. At midday, the benchmark April palm oil contract on Bursa Malaysia's Derivatives exchange fell 64 ringgit or 1.52% to 4,144 Ringgit ($933.02). Anilkumar bagani, head of commodity research at Mumbai-based Sunvin Group, said that "Bursa Malaysia derivatives crude palm oil Futures opened lower today"...
Year Ender: Big Oil retreats from renewables as climate agenda falters
In 2024, major European energy companies increased their focus on oil and natural gas to maximize profits in the short-term. They also slowed down and sometimes reversed climate commitments. This is a trend that will likely continue in 2025. Oil majors have retreated after governments worldwide slowed down the rollout and set back targets for clean energy as energy prices soared in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Sinopec predicts China's oil consumption will peak in 2027
Sinopec (China Petrochemical Corp.) expects China’s petroleum consumption will peak in 2027, at no more that 800 million metric tonnes or 16 million barrels a day. The state energy group released an outlook on Thursday. The forecast is more precise than the one made by the giant refining company last year when it estimated that China's peak oil production would be around 800 millions tons between 2026 to 2030.