Sources say that OPEC+ is leaning toward another small increase in oil production.
Four sources familiar with the discussions said that OPEC+ is likely to increase output modestly in December as it continues with its monthly increases aimed at regaining market share. After several years of reducing production to support the oil markets, the group that includes Russia and Saudi Arabia began to ease these curbs in April. Eight OPEC+ member countries have increased their monthly production targets by a combined total of 2.7 million barrels a day - which is about 2.5% global supply.
Sources say that OPEC+ is leaning toward another small increase in oil production.
Four sources familiar with the discussions said that eight OPEC+ countries are likely to increase oil production modestly for December at their meeting on Sunday, as Saudi Arabia tries to regain market share. OPEC+ increased its monthly production targets by a combined total of 2.7 million barrels a day - about 2.5% global supply – in a series since April. This is less than half of the cumulative supply cuts the group agreed to in previous years, which totalled 5.85 million barrels per day.
OPEC+ has agreed to modestly increase oil production from November, according to sources
Three people with knowledge of the situation said that OPEC+ is planning to increase oil production by 137,000 barrels a day (bpd) from November, the same modest increase as October. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and a few smaller producers have increased their oil production targets this year by over 2.6 million barrels per day. This is equivalent to around 2.5% of the global demand. After years of reductions, the policy shift is intended to gain market share away from competitors such as U.S. Shale producers.
Panel of OPEC+ stresses the need to fully comply with oil production limits
OPEC released a statement saying that an OPEC+ panel at a Wednesday meeting stressed the importance of full compliance with oil production agreements, and additional output cuts some members must make to compensate for exceeding quotas earlier. Around 1230 GMT, the online meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee began. It included top ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, led by Russia.
Sources say that OPEC+ is considering a larger increase in oil production
OPEC+ will likely consider a higher oil production increase for November of 411,000 barrels a day at its meeting on Sunday, as the rising oil prices encourages the group to attempt to regain market share. OPEC+ reversed its previous strategy of cutting output and has already increased quotas to more than 2,5 million bpd or 2.4% of global demand to increase market share. This is in response to pressure from U.S. president Donald Trump, who wants to lower oil prices.
Sources say that OPEC+ is planning to increase oil production in November.
Three sources familiar with the discussions said that OPEC+ is likely to approve another increase in oil production of at least 137,000 bbls per day during its meeting on Sunday. The group's desire to gain market share has been boosted by the rising price of oil, they added. OPEC+ reversed its April strategy of production cuts and has already increased quotas to more than 2,500,000 barrels per day. This represents about 2.4% world demand. The goal is to increase market share, and to do so, they have been under pressure by U.S.
IEA: Global oil and gas production is declining rapidly, IEA reports
International Energy Agency (IEA) said Tuesday that the decline in oil and gas production from mature fields around the world is increasing due to a greater reliance on deep-ocean and shale resources. This means companies will need to invest even more to maintain output. Donald Trump's administration has criticized the IEA for its recent shift in focus to clean energy policy. According to a report from the IEA for 2021, there should be no new investment in oil, coal and gas projects if we are serious about meeting our climate targets.
The IEA reports that the decline rates of global oil and gas fields are increasing.
International Energy Agency reported on Tuesday that the natural rate of decline for oil and gas production is increasing, due to a greater reliance on deep-ocean and shale resources. The International Energy Agency said on Tuesday that companies would need to increase their investment pace to maintain the same output. In a press release, the IEA, an agency that advises industrialised nations, warned that without continuing investment in existing fields the world would lose each year the equivalent oil production of Brazil and Norway combined…
Sources say that OPEC+ is set to increase oil production again in August.
Four delegates from OPEC+ said that the world's largest oil producer group, OPEC+ is planning to announce a production increase of 411,000 barrels a day for August in order to regain market shares. If the agreement is reached, the increase in supply by OPEC+ would be 1.78 million bpd, which is equivalent to more than 1.5% of the global demand. The group hasn't yet increased production to the agreed volumes because some members have been compensating for overproduction while others are taking longer to bring their output online.
IEA: World oil demand will continue to grow this decade despite China's peak in 2027
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said that global oil demand will continue to grow until the end of the decade, despite a peak in China, the top importer, in 2027. This is because cheaper gasoline in the United States and a slower adoption rate for electric vehicles in this country support consumption. The IEA (which advises industrialised nations) did not alter its prediction that China's demand would peak earlier than 2029 due to the growth of electric vehicles.
OPEC holds view that demand is not a concern, despite claims by Kazakhstan to lead the jump in OPEC+ production
OPEC announced on Wednesday that Kazakhstan was the country responsible for a significant increase in crude production in February by the wider OPEC+ group. This highlights a challenge facing the producer group to enforce adherence of agreed output targets. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reported that OPEC+ - which includes OPEC, Russia, and other allies - increased its output in February by 363,000 barrels a day, to 41,01 million bpd. Kazakhstan was the leading producer.
Novak: OPEC+ does not consider a delay in April's oil supply increase
RIA reported that Russian Deputy Premier Alexander Novak stated on Monday that OPEC+ producers do not plan to delay a series monthly increases in oil supplies scheduled to start in April. Bloomberg News reported Monday, citing delegates that OPEC+ (which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia, and other allies) was examining if it should postpone the increase in supply, despite the calls of U.S. president Donald Trump to reduce oil prices.
OPEC+ rolls over oil policy, ditches US government data
OPEC+ decided to continue its policy of increasing oil production gradually from April and removed U.S. Energy Information Administration as a source to monitor their production and adherence with supply pacts. OPEC+ & Donald Trump clashed frequently during Donald Trump's first administration from 2016 to 2020 when the U.S. president demanded that it increase production in order to compensate for the fall in Iranian supply due U.S. sanction.
Sources say that OPEC+ is unlikely to alter its output policy at the Monday meeting of the panel.
OPEC+ will not change its plans to gradually increase production when it meets Monday, delegates told the producer group. This is despite President Donald Trump's request to OPEC and Saudi Arabia, which is de facto leader, to lower prices. The top ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, led by Russia or OPEC+ are scheduled to meet at 1300 GMT, on Monday. This is just days after Trump asked OPEC, Saudi Arabia and other oil-producing countries to pump more.
European gasoline glut affects global margins
As a result, gasoline stocks in Europe reached a record-high as exports fell due to increased refinery runs in Nigeria and the United States. This led to the profit margins for European and U.S. refineries to fall to a 15 month low in January. Gasoline profit margins usually fall in the winter due to lower seasonal demand. However, the magnitude of the drop is a major blow for refiners who are now facing low margins on petrochemicals. Diesel provides some relief to overall margins.
Oil Rises on China Stimulus Hopes, US Inventory Drop
Oil rose almost 1% on Thursday in thin holiday trade driven by hopes for additional fiscal stimulus in China, the world's biggest oil importer, and supported by an industry report showing a decline in U.S. crude inventories.Chinese authorities have agreed to issue 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) worth of special treasury bonds next year, Reuters reported on Tuesday, citing two sources, as Beijing ramps up fiscal stimulus to revive a faltering economy.Brent crude futures rose 48 cents, or 0.7%, to $74.06 a barrel by 1445 GMT. U.S.
Oil Steadies as Sverdrup Restart eases Geopolitical Jitters
Oil prices traded steady on Tuesday as Norway's Johan Sverdrup oilfield restarted production and there were reports of Iran offering to cap its uranium stockpile, factors that offset investor concerns about escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war.Brent crude futures LCOc1 fell 0.1%, or 7 cents, to $73.23 per barrel by 1:30 p.m. EST (1830 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 gained 0.1%, or 5 cents, to $69.21 per barrel.Equinor resumed partial production from the Johan Sverdrup field in the North Sea…
IEA projects a comfortably supplied oil market by 2025 despite a demand increase
The International Energy Agency (IEA), which is a part of the OPEC+ producer group, said that there will be enough oil on the world market in 2025. This was despite OPEC+ extending its oil supply cuts, and a slightly higher demand forecast than expected. The Agency said that its current outlook indicates a 950,000 barrels a day overhang in the next year – equal to almost 1% of the world's output – despite OPEC+ extending their output cuts until April 2025.
Sources say that OPEC+ has agreed to delay the December production increase by one month.
Three sources within the producer group said on Sunday that OPEC+ had agreed to postpone by one month the planned increase in oil production for December, due to the weak demand, notably coming from China, and the rising supply from outside the group. The OPEC+, which consists of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia, and other allies was supposed to increase output by 180,000 barleys per day in the month of December. The increase was already postponed from October due to falling prices.
OPEC cuts oil demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025
OPEC reduced its estimates for the growth of oil demand this year and in 2019. The producer group has now revised their forecasts downward five times in a row. The weakened outlook shows the challenges facing OPEC+ which includes the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, such as Russia. OPEC+ delayed its plan earlier this month to increase output until April 2025 due to falling prices. In a report published monthly…