Saturday, July 20, 2019

Oil Rallies Again, Brent Has Best Two Weeks Since 1998

Posted by February 6, 2015

Oil rallied again on Friday, with benchmark Brent crude on track for its largest two-week gain in 17 years, as falling oil rig counts and violence in producer Libya helped to further stall a selloff that began in June.

Crude prices have rallied nearly 20 percent over the past six sessions, but remain about 50 percent below their peak from the middle of last year, due to worries of a global oil glut.

Brent futures were headed for about a 10 percent gain on the week, its biggest since 2011, and 20 percent over two weeks, its largest since 1998.

Still, the price rebound has been accompanied by sharp market volatility.

U.S. crude oil futures have seen daily price swings of up to 9 percent since last week as bulls and bears squared off positions on mixed signals the market could remain oversupplied through the first half. At the same time, falling rig counts and reduced exploration budgets of oil firms suggest the glut may be overcome more quickly.

The worldwide count for oil drilling rigs fell by 261 in January, oil services firm Baker Hughes said. The average number of U.S. oil rigs, meanwhile, fell by 199 in January, following the largest weekly drop since 1987, in the week to Jan 23. This week, another 83 U.S. oil rigs went offline, Baker Hughes said.

"People have only started playing attention to the oil rig count in the past week despite the fact they have been falling for weeks," said Gene McGillian, analyst at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. "I think the people really benefiting from these market gyrations are the high frequency traders as volumes are really up."

 (Reporting by Barani Krishnan; Additional reporting by Libby George in London and Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen in Singapore; Editing by David Evans, Susan Thomas, Bernadette Baum, Meredith Mazzilli and Diane Craft)

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